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L Tecolote

The future is hard to see clearly from now. Sure, we can all foresee likely consequences of our actions, or the actions of others, that we actually know about, to the extent that we actually do know. We do our best to keep abreast of what’s going on in the world, but there’s much that we cannot easily get at. We get a few of the general outlines, but the details often arrive as surprises. Through the lens of history, we foresee some of the possible consequences, and we imagine how our situations may play out. But we should remember that history doesn’t exactly repeat: it “rhymes.”

The impending collapse of this nation will not only be an economic tsunami, wherein we’ll struggle to keep food on the table, but many of us and our less prepared fellow citizens will probably be at pains to keep the table itself, hunkering behind it, hoping that it can stop, or significantly slow, the projectiles fired by yet others of our desperate fellow citizens. That their desperation is self-made, and that we, having worked for what they seek to take from us, have a superior claim, will have little effect on the outcome. We’ll be pressed to apply old rules to new situations.

But further, should such internal collapse occur before the similar collapses of more regimented, more populous, and better equipped nations (such as depicted in namelus’s video), one or more of them could come calling (militarily) for settlement of debts those less prudent fellow citizens allowed to be racked up in our collective name.

It’s only prudent to become personally able to use low-tech ways to supply our needs, but to get through the next decade nationally intact, is likely going to take all of the food, fiber, metal, and energy supplies, not to mention, individual energy, that America can still produce, given our reduced and globally-dependent state. (Hard for me to believe that a nation which no longer produces its own steel, or cloth, would be truly able, in the short run, to defend itself against similarly-armed nations which can and do … from whom it buys those materials!) Transitionally improving mechanized agriculture to cut down strip-mining and impoverishing the soil, consuming more water than nature supplies, would be good. But discarding modern production techniques wholesale would only weaken the nation.

Cry, "Treason!"