Forum Replies Created
June 29, 2014 at 4:23 am #17424
I have watched the increasingly complex and unbalanced economic realities developing and heading for a tipng point for decades. As leaders of governments and banking systems have continued to distort the natural dynamics of economics n order to gain political or monetary advantage for themselves and “their own” they have also struggled to keep the leaning tower from toppling. Meanwhile they have continued to manipulate “public” opinion withn their spheres of influence to support and accept these distortions. The current world economic system has become an upsidedown Eifel Tower held together with duct tape and baleing wire.
The economic advantage/disadvantage pressures among countries and collections of countries is growing rapidly as is the increasing instability of economic fundamentals, but No One wants a war, because they are too costly to the winners (not to mention the loosers). However, there will be a trigger or event (perhaps a major natural disaster, a major economic event, or perhaps a sudden “political disaster” unanticipated by the current leaders) that de-stabalizes the economy or economic controls in one country or another sufficently for the government leaders in that country to react badly and foolishly. The consequence of ths reaction will trigger a domino sequence of reactions from other countries until an opportunistic “non-conventional war” results. The collapse/war will affect different countries and regions in different ways, but the new normal will be a nightmare lastng years for Europe and North America. Other regions such as Russia, China, and others who sell most of their goods to Europe and North America will feel the unanticipated aftershocks on a slightly delayed basis.
The biggest danger is the level of desperation reached by the governments in trying to control these events, and the desperation of the public in various places trying to adapt to the “collapse”. My guess is that within this decade the geopolitical map will have signficantly changed, but the economic and societal “maps” will have become unrecognizable.
The bottom line for most of us reading this is that the next few years will be very dangerous, and within ten years we will all be basically starting over in a changed world.April 14, 2014 at 10:30 pm #8635
Selco, in the U.S. there is an exaggerated heritage of “fairness” going back to the days of the revolution in the late 1700s. Many associated their anger with the special privileges granted at whim by the royalty in the “old world”. This has resulted in very harsh laws against bribery at all levels. The enforcement of those laws are mostly applied only as the lower levels of the economic spectrum because those who are “highly successful” have designed ways to make a bribe impossible to prove.
The most common approach is for businesses to cultivate “warm and fuzzy” personal relationships with government or military officials (like taking special care of extended family and friends of the officials rather than providing benefit directly to the official or their immediate family.) As the relationships “grow” repeated casual comments about the long term future of the official after they get out of the “public sector” (retire from government employment) are used to assure favorable application of the official’s discretionary influence.
Essentially bribes are still widespread in the U.S. They are just much more indirect.