August 29, 2014 at 4:43 pm #23577
74, If many try to escape the area then there will be some with Ebola and they will not know they have it. This looks like a virus that will go global soon.August 29, 2014 at 7:20 pm #23594
I read a report that the quarantined area is very porous and people are escaping through buildings, swimming around the road blocks and bribing the solider guards. You have to figure at least 10X the number reported are infected because that is about the rate of infection for one person to infect others. They are admitting under reporting by as much as 75% to start with, so there could be 12,000 infected with obvious symptoms. If they all infect 10 people 120,000 people will display symptoms in 21 days. At that rate In 42 days from now it could jump to 1.2 million infected, then another quantum jump every additional 21 days.August 30, 2014 at 3:20 pm #23714
Here is the latest from the Ebola front.
The West Point slum in Monrovia is not under quarantine anymore… because authorities said they are confident they can screen everyone… http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/30/world/africa/quarantine-for-ebola-lifted-in-liberia-slum.html?_r=0
Want the best proof so far that this Ebola outbreak is much worse than any outbreak before because it is more contagious?
Check this out. Two days ago the most in depth study of the current outbreak was released. http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/2014/08/27/science.1259657.full
It traces the origins of the outbreak and the genomics so researchers can better predict the spread and transmission dynamics. Nothing overly special BUT 5 co-authors of that study died from Ebola.
Thats an significant amount and we talk about virology professionals…
No surprise these countries run out of medical staff who wants to deal with the problem. This outbreak is way more contagious than officials want to admit.
Alea iacta est ("The die has been cast")August 30, 2014 at 4:15 pm #23721
Excellent article. I understand the reluctance of medical professionals to taking such risks, but I don’t understand why the 1st world can’t at least get the medical professionals and other care givers the supplies they need to battle this.August 30, 2014 at 5:32 pm #23734
Excellent article. I understand the reluctance of medical professionals to taking such risks, but I don’t understand why the 1st world can’t at least get the medical professionals and other care givers the supplies they need to battle this.
Absolutely agree. Most of the Ebola isolation wards lack basic stuff like nitrile gloves and similar.. the west should not underestimate this. We are lucky if Ebola does not spread any further.
Alea iacta est ("The die has been cast")September 5, 2014 at 3:13 pm #24199
This article is an interesting read. It describes how one of the US doctors who survived Ebola experienced the whole ordeal.
Alea iacta est ("The die has been cast")September 6, 2014 at 5:38 pm #24293
“Beginning September 18, the nation will prohibit residents from leaving their homes for four days, with the hopes that health officials will be able to detect early-stage cases……..Sierra Leone announced it will implement a four-day “lockdown” across the country in an attempt to contain the spread of Ebola”September 8, 2014 at 12:40 pm #24406
This starting to get more intense with an acknowledgement from the Pres of how severe the problem really is (or could become) http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/09/08/obama-says-military-will-help-fight-ebola-outbreak-in-west-africa/September 8, 2014 at 2:50 pm #24417
It is nearly impossible to do real lock down, even in better organized countries, it is simply not realistic to expect that some serious event could be “contained” with this methods.
If this threat have real potential, it is simply too late to fight it with lock down.September 8, 2014 at 3:47 pm #24420
I think that sending our military over there poses a greater risk for transmission to the US then anything else. Now there will be hundreds or thousands of troops potentially exposed who will travel back to the States.September 8, 2014 at 4:28 pm #24424
74, I agree we can’t send our troops there. I believe there is a coverup of how bad this is.September 8, 2014 at 5:55 pm #24438
Oops, well it’s just one case.
Monday, Sep 8, 2014 • Updated at 1:42 PM EDT
A potential case of Ebola was being retested at a Miami-area hospital after initial tests came back negative, officials with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Monday.
The details of the case and patient weren’t immediately known. CDC spokesman Jason McDonald said the patient was being retested to be sure.September 8, 2014 at 6:31 pm #24443
WOW! I did not see that news! I am now on alert to it and will keep everyone updated. Thanks 74!September 9, 2014 at 10:32 pm #24521
Here is the new report on the Ebola crisis feom the WHO. There are now over 4268 Ebola cases, with over 2288 dead. Big spike expected in Liberia in the coming weeks.
Here is a graph of the current cases / deaths (but experts and local authorities agree the outbreak has been vastly under reported, some people estimate there are up to 10 real cases for 1 confirmed)
Another great resource about research on current outbreaks is this here http://currents.plos.org/outbreaks/
Alea iacta est ("The die has been cast")September 9, 2014 at 11:57 pm #24531
Oh this is getting bad, they are covering up a lot of information about how many are really dieing of Ebola.
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