I think that oil is just an excuse. We have a resurgent Russia, and China is beginning to flex it’s muscle on the world stage. If WWIII starts I suspect we will be at fault. I hate saying that, but I see no other way.
Revolution II would only work if a sufficient number of military and law enforcement men and women join in. Even though the President has purged a lot of good officers from the active duty ranks, many are still serving.