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Roadracer is right that we should expect swings. The overall trend will be downward, but there will be up days along the way.

Trying to guess how far it might drop or how fast it might happen is perhaps human nature but I think our focus should be on watching for signs of societal unraveling. The drops have been significant in recent days for sure but the grocery store shelves are full, there are not lines at the gas station, Fedex is still coming up the road daily making deliveries as is our mail lady. And so forth. Fortunes may be being lost of Wall St. but on Main St. life is still normal. That’s what we should be watching for……are the wheels coming off in everyday life.