#33522
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undeRGRönd
Survivalist
member8

OK, Let’s just say the Earth is 1* of arc wide, in it’s orbit around the Sun (it is less) That would mean a Solar Flare, let’s say 10* of width @ 93,000,000 miles from the Sun would have a 1 in 36 chance of hitting Earth. Now consider that all the planets are in basically the same plane around the Sun, and that it is also (greatly exaggerated) 1* of arc wide that way… now it is 1 in 36 times 360 which is a 1 in 12,960 chance, but we “rounded up” in every case, so let’s just say it’s off by a factor of 10 now. almost a 1 in 130,000 chance of any solar flare impacting the Earth. And wasn’t this Solar Storm on the Sun’s SOUTH POLE? That means it is shooting as far away from the Solar Plane of planets as much as possible. That flare has Zero Chance of hitting Earth…

Mr Dale (not DR. Dale) says these types of events are not just a threat, but inevitable.
Nasa scientists have predicted that the Earth is in the path of a Carrington-level event every 150 years on average.
This means that we are currently five years overdue – and that the likelihood of one occurring in the next decade is as high as 12 per cent.

12% is one in 8 over the next 10 years. But it is NASA’s JOB to warn of these possibilities, and their FUNDING depends on threat levels, if they found zero threat levels, they would be less likely to be funded. Not throwing stones at NASA, but it is in their best interest (and ours, IMO) if they get us a tad bit “more ready” and nothing happens, as opposed to “every thing is hunkey-dorey” then disaster strikes! Earth is a relatively small target. Take your “bad darts player”, spin him around blindfolded, then let him throw. That is more like what we are dealing with, but in all 3 axis of space. A flare can go in ANY Direction, and not always towards Earth.

"ROGUE ELECTRICIAN" Hoping to be around to re-energize the New World.....

Cogito, ergo armatus sum