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“until I start seeing exponential growth I’m not going to get too excited” MTB

We are seeing it, it’s just that we are watching the beginning stages. It started with just one case. Recently Patrick Sawyer put 8 people in quarantine, 3 are probably going to die. 70 others are under observation.

Left unchecked it would expand in the classic exponential model. Their attempts to contain it have probably helped slow the progressive spread throughout the population.